Run the full breakdown on any bet
A mathematical betting analysis tool - not a prediction engine. Give it odds, your own probability estimate, stake, and bankroll, and it returns implied probability, edge, expected value, full and half Kelly stakes, risk level, and a Bet Quality Score, in plain language.
Your estimated probability (54.0%) is higher than the market's implied probability (47.6%). If accurate, this bet carries a positive expected value of +$2.68 on a $20 stake. Full Kelly suggests risking about 12.2% of bankroll; half-Kelly about 6.1%.
This result is a mathematical estimate based on the numbers you entered. It does not predict a winner and does not guarantee a winning outcome.
FAQ
Does the Bet Analyzer predict who will win?
No. It performs the math on the odds and probability you provide - implied probability, edge, expected value, and Kelly stake. It never claims to predict a winner.
Where does the estimated probability come from?
From you - your own research, model, or judgment. The tool's job is to do the math honestly once you supply that number, not to generate it for you.
What's the difference between full Kelly and half Kelly?
Full Kelly is the mathematically optimal stake for long-run bankroll growth given your edge; half Kelly stakes half that amount, trading some growth for meaningfully lower variance.
Related tools
18+. These tools are analytical only - they do not accept bets, do not predict outcomes, and do not guarantee profit. Gamble responsibly. Sports betting regulations vary by jurisdiction; you are responsible for understanding and complying with the laws where you live.